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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. An area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development,
and this system could become a tropical depression during the next
few days while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula, have changed little in
organization since yesterday. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for gradual additional development, and a
tropical depression could form during the next two to three days
while the disturbance moves westward. After that time, cooler
waters are likely to inhibit further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
3. An area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the
coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Development is expected to
occur after that time, and the system could become a tropical
depression by late this week as the disturbance moves
west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
4. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the
Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Brown
Original author: NHC
