NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Aug 2 2024For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Carlotta, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.1. Western East Pacific (EP95):
A broad area of low pressure located well to the west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues
producing an area of showers and thunderstorms. Marginal
environmental conditions are expected to limit development of this
system during the next few days. The low is forecast to meander over
open waters during the next day or so, then begin moving
northeastward by late this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of
Central America and southern Mexico is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is
expected to form from this system during the next day or so, and
thereafter environmental conditions appear conducive for additional
development. A tropical depression is likely to form by late this
weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, staying well offshore of the
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.Forecaster Papin
Original author: NHC
5525
NHC Atlantic Outlook

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