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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. An elongated low pressure area located about 1200 miles east-
southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become less conducive for development during the
next day or so, and significant development of this system appears
unlikely while it moves westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
2. Cloudiness and thunderstorms located about 730 miles south-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
associated with a small area of low pressure. Although upper-level
winds are only marginally conducive, some development of this system
is possible during the next several days while the disturbance
drifts northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent
3. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern Pacific
near Central America are associated with a surface trough.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable for
some development of this disturbance over the weekend while the
system moves toward the west-northwest at about 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent
Forecaster Blake
Original author: NHC
