Tropical Track & Forecast

Interactive - 5 Day Track Forecast Cone / Coastal Watches & Warnings

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Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center


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Current Infrared Satellite Image

Courtesy of UW-Madison CIMSS Tropical Cyclones Research Group

2014 Tropical Cyclone Tracks

Courtesy of Unisys

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 282307
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sun May 28 2023

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly/Cangialosi
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Latest Tropical Weather Outlook

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Probability of Formation 0-24hrs

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Probability of Formation 24-48hrs

Courtesy of NOAA Satellite Services Division[/column_item] [/columns]

Graphical Tropical Weather Discussion

NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)

National Hurricane Center - Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
  • NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

    416
    AXNT20 KNHC 282311
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0005 UTC Mon May 29 2023

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2300 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 26W from 12N southward,
    moving W at 10 kt. Isolated thunderstorms are occurring along the
    axis of the tropical wave from 05N to 08N.

    An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 40W from 11N southward,
    moving W at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N
    to 12N between 37W and 43W.

    An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 54W from 12N southward,
    moving W at 10 kt. Scattered showers are noted from 06N to 10N
    between 52W and 56W.

    A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 65W from 13N southward to
    Venezuela, moving W at 5-10 kt. Isolated thunderstorms are near
    the axis of the tropical wave with most activity occurring in
    Venezuela.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of Senegal
    near 14N17W to 12N18W. The ITCZ continues from 12N18W to 06N23W,
    then continues W of a tropical wave from 05N27W to 06N39W, then
    continues W of another tropical wave from 05N41W to 05N52W.
    Outside of the convection associated with tropical waves,
    scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 10N and E of 24W.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    Isolated showers are noted moving across the western Gulf. A 1017
    mb high pres is noted in the north-central Gulf near 30N90W.
    Otherwise, light to gentle winds prevail across the basin with
    seas to 2 ft.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will support gentle to
    moderate winds and slight seas across the basin through early this
    week. Weak low pressure may form over the western Gulf by the
    middle of the week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered moderate convection is noted across the central
    Caribbean from 11N to 21N between 74W and 83W. In the eastern and
    central Caribbean, gentle to moderate trade winds prevail. Locally
    fresh winds are noted near northern Venezuela. Seas in this area
    range 2-4 ft. In the western Caribbean, light to gentle winds are
    noted with seas to 2 ft.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will maintain gentle to
    moderate trade winds across the Caribbean through mid week, with
    occasional fresh pulses along the northern coast of South American
    and off Honduras.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weakening stationary front extends through the northern Bahamas
    from 31N75W to 25N79W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    along the front and to the east of it from 20N to 31N between 61W
    and 79W. Light to gentle winds mostly prevail across the area with
    moderate westerly winds off the NE Florida coast. Seas range 4-6
    ft.

    In the Central Atlantic, ridging extends across the area anchored
    by a 1020 mb high pres near 29N52W. Light to gentle anticyclonic
    winds are noted beneath the high pres with gentle to moderate
    easterly winds are noted S of 24N. High pres also extends across
    the eastern Atlantic with light to gentle winds. Seas are to 4 ft
    across the central and eastern Atlantic. Showers are noted moving
    across the Canary Islands and Western Sahara.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will result in
    quiescent conditions through Fri.

    $$
    AReinhart