NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)

• NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion
  
  416
  AXNT20 KNHC 282311
  TWDAT
  
  Tropical Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  0005 UTC Mon May 29 2023
  
  Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
  Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
  America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
  Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
  imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
  
  Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
  2300 UTC.
  
  ...TROPICAL WAVES...
  
  An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 26W from 12N southward,
  moving W at 10 kt. Isolated thunderstorms are occurring along the
  axis of the tropical wave from 05N to 08N.
  
  An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 40W from 11N southward,
  moving W at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N
  to 12N between 37W and 43W.
  
  An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 54W from 12N southward,
  moving W at 10 kt. Scattered showers are noted from 06N to 10N
  between 52W and 56W.
  
  A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 65W from 13N southward to
  Venezuela, moving W at 5-10 kt. Isolated thunderstorms are near
  the axis of the tropical wave with most activity occurring in
  Venezuela.
  
  ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
  
  The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of Senegal
  near 14N17W to 12N18W. The ITCZ continues from 12N18W to 06N23W,
  then continues W of a tropical wave from 05N27W to 06N39W, then
  continues W of another tropical wave from 05N41W to 05N52W.
  Outside of the convection associated with tropical waves,
  scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 10N and E of 24W.
  
  ...GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  Isolated showers are noted moving across the western Gulf. A 1017
  mb high pres is noted in the north-central Gulf near 30N90W.
  Otherwise, light to gentle winds prevail across the basin with
  seas to 2 ft.
  
  For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will support gentle to
  moderate winds and slight seas across the basin through early this
  week. Weak low pressure may form over the western Gulf by the
  middle of the week.
  
  ...CARIBBEAN SEA...
  
  Scattered moderate convection is noted across the central
  Caribbean from 11N to 21N between 74W and 83W. In the eastern and
  central Caribbean, gentle to moderate trade winds prevail. Locally
  fresh winds are noted near northern Venezuela. Seas in this area
  range 2-4 ft. In the western Caribbean, light to gentle winds are
  noted with seas to 2 ft.
  
  For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will maintain gentle to
  moderate trade winds across the Caribbean through mid week, with
  occasional fresh pulses along the northern coast of South American
  and off Honduras.
  
  ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
  
  A weakening stationary front extends through the northern Bahamas
  from 31N75W to 25N79W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
  along the front and to the east of it from 20N to 31N between 61W
  and 79W. Light to gentle winds mostly prevail across the area with
  moderate westerly winds off the NE Florida coast. Seas range 4-6
  ft.
  
  In the Central Atlantic, ridging extends across the area anchored
  by a 1020 mb high pres near 29N52W. Light to gentle anticyclonic
  winds are noted beneath the high pres with gentle to moderate
  easterly winds are noted S of 24N. High pres also extends across
  the eastern Atlantic with light to gentle winds. Seas are to 4 ft
  across the central and eastern Atlantic. Showers are noted moving
  across the Canary Islands and Western Sahara.
  
  For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will result in
  quiescent conditions through Fri.
  
  $$
  AReinhart