Tropical Track & Forecast

Interactive - 5 Day Track Forecast Cone / Coastal Watches & Warnings

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Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center


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Current Infrared Satellite Image

Courtesy of UW-Madison CIMSS Tropical Cyclones Research Group

2014 Tropical Cyclone Tracks

Courtesy of Unisys

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Atlantic

National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Atlantic

    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 242302
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sun Jun 24 2018

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Avila

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Latest Tropical Weather Outlook

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Probability of Formation 0-24hrs

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Probability of Formation 24-48hrs

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Graphical Tropical Weather Discussion

NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)

National Hurricane Center - Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
  • NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 242354
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    754 PM EDT Sun Jun 24 2018

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2300 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 21N from 02N to 19N, moving W
    at 10 kt. Isolated moderate convection associated to this wave is
    noted from 06N to 11N between 20W and 24W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 55W from 04N to 19N, moving W
    at 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 10N
    between 50W and 55W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean near
    65W, and extends from Venezuela northward toward Puerto Rico,
    moving W at 20 kt. Isolated showers are near the wave's axis.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 81W from Cuba to Panama.
    Scattered showers with embedded tstms are noted across much of
    Cuba and the surrounding waters. This wave will move across
    western Cuba tonight into Mon, and will continue to enhance
    convection over the island.

    Another tropical wave is near 91W, and extends from the SW Gulf
    into the eastern north Pacific region. This wave is currently
    generating scattered showers and tstms over portions of southern
    Mexico.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends off western Africa near 16N16W to
    07N21W to 06N30W. The ITCZ continues from 06N30W to 04N40W to the
    coast of Guyana near 07N59W. Outside of the convection associated
    with the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is noted
    from 02N to 07N between 25W and 50W.

    ...DISCUSSION...

    GULF OF MEXICO...

    An upper-level low is centered near 21N98W. A large area of
    showers and tstms is within about 270 nm NE semicircle of the low
    center, covering mainly the Gulf waters from 21N-26N between 93W-
    97W. The low will drift westward into Mexico while weakening
    inland by Tue. This system will continue to enhance convection
    across the western Gulf, and likely across the states of
    Tamaulipas and Veracruz in Mexico on Mon, as well as over southern
    Texas.

    A 1019 mb high is over the eastern Gulf near 27N85W with a ridge
    extending westward toward the coast of Texas. The ridge will
    prevail over the northern Gulf waters through Tue, supporting
    moderate to fresh SE return flow over the northwestern Gulf. A
    trough moving west off the western coast of the Yucatan Peninsula
    each night will further enhance overnight winds over much of the
    southwestern Gulf waters.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A series of tropical waves will move westward across the tropical
    north Atlantic and Caribbean Sea through the middle of next week.
    Currently, two tropical waves are propagating across the basin,
    one moving across the western Caribbean, and another tropical
    wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Please, see Tropical
    Waves section for more details. Expect increasing showers and
    isolated thunderstorms in association with the passage of these
    tropical waves.

    Fresh to strong winds are noted across the central and eastern
    Caribbean, as well as the Gulf of Honduras, with gentle to
    moderate winds prevailing elsewhere. Sea heights of near 11 ft are
    seen over the south-central Caribbean based on altimeter data.
    Winds are forecast to reach near gale force off Colombia at
    night. Little change is expected through the middle of the week.
    Areal coverage of fresh to strong trades will decrease afterwards
    as high pressure north of the area weakens. Seas are forecast to
    build to 11-13 ft over the south-central Caribbean by early Mon.
    Nocturnal winds will pulse to fresh to strong winds the next
    couple of nights in the Gulf of Honduras.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    High pressure of 1028 mb centered near 31N54W extends a ridge
    westward across the forecast area. Fresh to strong trade are noted
    E of the Lesser Antilles to about 50W. Altimeter data indicate
    sea heights of near 10 ft within this area of winds. This high
    pressure will remain nearly stationary through Tue while
    weakening. As result, the pressure gradient will loosen with
    diminishing winds and subsiding seas E of the Lesser Antilles by
    Tue. Nocturnal winds will continue to pulse to fresh to strong the
    next several nights off Hispaniola.

    For additional information please visit
    http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

    $$
    AL/GR