Tropical Track & Forecast

Interactive - 5 Day Track Forecast Cone / Coastal Watches & Warnings

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Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center


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Current Infrared Satellite Image

Courtesy of UW-Madison CIMSS Tropical Cyclones Research Group

2014 Tropical Cyclone Tracks

Courtesy of Unisys

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Atlantic

National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Atlantic

    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 302336
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 PM EST Fri Nov 30 2018

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
    the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season. Routine issuance of the
    Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2019. During the
    off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
    conditions warrant.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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Latest Tropical Weather Outlook

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Probability of Formation 0-24hrs

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Probability of Formation 24-48hrs

Courtesy of NOAA Satellite Services Division[/column_item] [/columns]

Graphical Tropical Weather Discussion

NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)

National Hurricane Center - Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
  • NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 241110
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    610 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    ...Gale Warning in the Gulf of Mexico...

    A cold front extends across the Gulf of Mexico from 30N85W to
    18N92W. Gale-force NW to N winds will continue N of 24N and E of
    the front through the next 24 hours. For additional information,
    please read the High Seas Forecast product under the AWIPS/WMO
    headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC.

    ...Gale Warning in the South-Central Caribbean...

    Strong high pressure north of the area will maintain strong NE
    winds over much of the Caribbean through tonight, with gale-
    force winds expected near the coast of Colombia. These conditions
    will continue through 1200 UTC today. For additional information,
    please read the High Seas Forecast product under the AWIPS/WMO
    headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC.

    ...Gale Warning in the SW N Atlantic...

    A cold front will move off the Florida coast into the SW N
    Atlantic today. Strong SW winds ahead of the front are forecast
    to increase to gale-force this morning N of 29N and W of 77W. The
    winds will decrease to below gale-force by 0000 UTC Fri. For
    additional information, please read the High Seas Forecast product
    under the AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC.

    ...Gale Winds Expected Near the Coast of Morocco...

    Meteo France is forecasting ongoing gale-force winds through the
    morning hours near the coast of Morocco in the marine zone
    AGADIR. For additional information, please visit the Meteo France
    website at http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions- meteo-
    marine/bulletin/grandlarge/metarea2.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough emerges from the coast of Liberia in western
    Africa near 10N14W and extends to 02N22W. The ITCZ continues from
    that point to the coast of Brazil near 03N42W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted along and in the vicinity of the ITCZ from
    00N-07N between 20W-40W.

    GULF OF MEXICO...

    A 1032 mb surface high is centered over the northeast Atlantic
    with a ridge axis extending southwestward over Florida into the
    eastern Gulf of Mexico. A strengthening low pressure system is
    centered over northern Georgia and is dragging its cold front
    over the Gulf. The front currently extends from 30N85W to 19N92W.
    Gale-force winds are currently ongoing ahead the front over a
    portion of the northeast Gulf waters. Refer to the Special
    Features section above for more details. Strong to near gale-force
    winds cover the remainder of the Gulf. Numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are organized in a line within 150 nm E of the front
    mainly N of 24N.

    The cold front will continue to move across the Gulf waters
    today, shifting E of the area through the next 18 hours. Winds
    and seas will diminish across the Gulf on today as the front
    moves southeast of the region. Winds and seas will increase this
    weekend as another frontal boundary moves through the basin.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A 1032 mb high pressure north of the area is inducing widespread
    fresh to strong trade winds over most of the Caribbean basin.
    Earlier scatterometer data showed gale-force winds near the coast
    of Colombia. Expect for these winds to prevail through tonight,
    with gale-force winds pulsing off of Colombia's coast through this
    morning. Refer to the Special Features section for more details.

    Winds and seas will diminish late in the week as the high pressure
    shifts east ahead of another cold front. This cold front is
    expected to move into the northwest Caribbean by late Thu. The
    front will stall and dissipate from central Cuba to the Gulf of
    Honduras by late Fri.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Surface ridging prevails across the west Atlantic. To the east, a
    cold front extends from 31N38W to 23N44W to 21N53W. It continues
    as a stationary front from 21N53W to 19N63W. Scattered moderate
    convection is N of 25N between 33W-38W. Surface ridging extending
    from high pressure N of the Azores prevails across the eastern
    Atlantic.

    The cold front over the central Atlantic will weaken late this
    week. High pressure building in the wake of the front will
    maintain fresh to strong winds over the central Atlantic waters
    through tonight. High pressure over the western Atlantic will
    shift eastward ahead of a cold front moving off the coast of
    Florida today. Southerly gale-force winds will prevail N of 29N W
    of 77W. Refer to the Special Features section for more details.
    This front will stall and dissipate from Bermuda to eastern Cuba
    by Sat. A weak reinforcing front will move off northeast Florida
    by late Sat, and reach from Bermuda to the Straits of Florida by
    late Sun.

    For additional information please visit
    http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

    $$

    ERA