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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 21 2020
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for some gradual
development of this system during the next few days while the
disturbance moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico,
are beginning to show some signs of organization. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual additional
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of
this week while the disturbance moves westward, away from the
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
3. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the
coast of Mexico by the middle of this week. Additional development
is expected to occur after that time, and the system could become
a tropical depression by late this week as the disturbance moves
west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Forecaster Brown
Original author: NHC
