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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Jun 24 2020
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Showers and thunderstorms have become more concentrated overnight
near the center of a small area of low pressure located about 1700
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. If this development trend continues, a tropical
depression could develop later today or tonight while it moves
slowly toward the west or west-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
continues to produce a wide area of disorganized showers and a few
thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible during
the next day or so while the system moves westward at about 15 mph
before it moves over cooler waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
3. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico are associated with a
tropical wave. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development, and the system is likely to become a
tropical depression within the next few days while it moves
west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
4. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf
of Tehuantepec by late this week. Gradual development of this system
will be possible over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward
parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Forecaster Latto
Original author: NHC
