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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 AM HST Sat Aug 12 2023
For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:
1. Approximately 1400 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii (EP99):
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms
well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Conditions
appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form during the next few days while moving
toward the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph across the far
western portion of the basin, crossing into the Central Pacific
basin late Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
2. Central East Pacific (EP98):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in
association with a low pressure system located several hundred
miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula, and it appears that a tropical depression or tropical
storm could be forming. If these trends continue, advisories would
likely be initiated on this system later today. The low is expected
to move westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the
central portion of the basin during the next few days. This system,
if it develops, may cross into the Central Pacific basin next
Thursday or Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.
Forecaster Kino
Original author: NHC
