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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 26 2018
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Satellite images this morning indicate that the shower activity
associated with a low pressure area located a little more than 1000
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
is becoming better organized. Conditions are favorable for
additional development, and a tropical depression could form at any
time later today or Friday. This system is expected to move toward
the west-northwest or west during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small low pressure
system are located a little more than 1800 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is
forecast to move westward and only a small increase in organization
could result in the formation of a tropical depression later today
or early Friday. After that time, unfavorable upper-level winds
are expected to become established over the disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
3. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of Mexico early
next week. Conditions are expected to be favorable for this system
to gradually develop as it moves toward the west-northwest well
south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Avila
Original author: NHC
