NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Oct 16 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Tara, located near the coast of southwestern Mexico. 1. A tropical wave located over western Nicaragua and southern Honduras is expected to move westward into the eastern Pacific Ocean by this evening, and develop into a low pressure system a couple of hundred miles south of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico by late Wednesday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the system moves west-northwestward near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. 2. A weak area of low pressure located about 850 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible while it drifts northward or north-northeastward during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Stewart
Original author: NHC
October 16, 2018
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